A cynical and oversimplified — but hopefully illuminating — view (and roughly my view) is that trajectory changes are just longterm power grabs by people with a certain set of values (moral, epistemic, or otherwise). One argument in the other direction is that lots of people are trying to grab power — it’s all powerful people do! And conflict with powerful people over resources is a significant kind of non-neglectedness. But very few people are trying to control the longterm future, due to (e.g.) hyperbolic discounting. So on this view, neglectedness provisionally favours trajectory changes that don’t reallocate power until the future, so that they are not in competition with people seeking power today. A similar argument would apply to other domains where power can be accrued but where competitors are not seeking power.
A cynical and oversimplified — but hopefully illuminating — view (and roughly my view) is that trajectory changes are just longterm power grabs by people with a certain set of values (moral, epistemic, or otherwise). One argument in the other direction is that lots of people are trying to grab power — it’s all powerful people do! And conflict with powerful people over resources is a significant kind of non-neglectedness. But very few people are trying to control the longterm future, due to (e.g.) hyperbolic discounting. So on this view, neglectedness provisionally favours trajectory changes that don’t reallocate power until the future, so that they are not in competition with people seeking power today. A similar argument would apply to other domains where power can be accrued but where competitors are not seeking power.