The beauty of Manifold is that you can make your own competing market with resolution criteria you find preferable.
I am sympathetic to this view, but there is a settlement dollar figure at which I think a market should resolve to YES rather than N/A. I don’t know what it should be, but treating (e.g.) the massive Fox News / Dominion settlement as N/A doesn’t track the spirit of the market either. A big enough settlement is a de facto admission of very probable loss if trial happened.
The beauty of Manifold is that you can make your own competing market with resolution criteria you find preferable.
I am sympathetic to this view, but there is a settlement dollar figure at which I think a market should resolve to YES rather than N/A. I don’t know what it should be, but treating (e.g.) the massive Fox News / Dominion settlement as N/A doesn’t track the spirit of the market either. A big enough settlement is a de facto admission of very probable loss if trial happened.