Arden here from 80k—just wanted to note the figures you cite are from a survey and were not 80k’s overall views.
Our articles put AI risk closer to 10% (https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/artificial-intelligence/) and nano much lower though we don’t try to estimate it numerically (we have a mini writeup here https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/atomically-precise-manufacturing/)
seems like we should update that article anyway though. thanks for drawing my attention to it
Thanks! I’ll update to correct this.
Arden here from 80k—just wanted to note the figures you cite are from a survey and were not 80k’s overall views.
Our articles put AI risk closer to 10% (https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/artificial-intelligence/) and nano much lower though we don’t try to estimate it numerically (we have a mini writeup here https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/atomically-precise-manufacturing/)
seems like we should update that article anyway though. thanks for drawing my attention to it
Thanks! I’ll update to correct this.