Although potentially the value of having an additional person wanting to do direct work could also vary based on the similar economic factors. To take a trivial example, that value is basically zero if there is no funding. And if funding is a significant constraint, the worker who the hypothetical worker pushes out by choosing to do direct work was probably pretty effective themselves.
So we should be careful not to adjust the effectiveness of GTE strategies downward based on economic trends without considering whether to adjust the projected benefit of a decision to pursue a direct-work career path for similar factors.
Although potentially the value of having an additional person wanting to do direct work could also vary based on the similar economic factors. To take a trivial example, that value is basically zero if there is no funding. And if funding is a significant constraint, the worker who the hypothetical worker pushes out by choosing to do direct work was probably pretty effective themselves.
So we should be careful not to adjust the effectiveness of GTE strategies downward based on economic trends without considering whether to adjust the projected benefit of a decision to pursue a direct-work career path for similar factors.