I think the answer to that question is no, because I don’t trust models like these to advise us on how much risk to take.
How would you prefer to decide how much risk to take?
OP has tried to estimate empirically the spending/impact curvature of a big philanthropic opportunity set – the GiveWell top charities – and ended up with an eta parameter of roughly 0.38.
I would love to see more on this if there’s any public writeups or data.
How would you prefer to decide how much risk to take?
I would love to see more on this if there’s any public writeups or data.