Not sure if 100M is necessary or sufficient if you want many people or even multiple organizations to seriously work full-time on forecasting EA relevant questions. Maybe could also be used to spearhead its usage in politics.
www.ideamarket.io is working on something that’s in the same vein. It’s not a prediction market, but seeks to use markets to identify credible/trustworthy sources.
Disclaimer: i started working with Ideamarket a month ago
Funding a „serious“ prediction market.
Not sure if 100M is necessary or sufficient if you want many people or even multiple organizations to seriously work full-time on forecasting EA relevant questions. Maybe could also be used to spearhead its usage in politics.
https://kalshi.com/
www.ideamarket.io is working on something that’s in the same vein. It’s not a prediction market, but seeks to use markets to identify credible/trustworthy sources.
Disclaimer: i started working with Ideamarket a month ago