This post also criticizes AI 2027 (https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KgejNns3ojrvCfFbi/a-deep-critique-of-ai-2027-s-bad-timeline-models) and its critiques seem much more concerning? Including a bunch of links to papers that don’t really back up points is not great practice or anything but also we don’t have AI papers from 2027 yet, so I’d just presume that they were clumsily trying to go for something like “we’ll have a better version of this paper in 2027” from what you’ve said.
This post also criticizes AI 2027 (https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KgejNns3ojrvCfFbi/a-deep-critique-of-ai-2027-s-bad-timeline-models) and its critiques seem much more concerning? Including a bunch of links to papers that don’t really back up points is not great practice or anything but also we don’t have AI papers from 2027 yet, so I’d just presume that they were clumsily trying to go for something like “we’ll have a better version of this paper in 2027” from what you’ve said.
I’ll take a look at that post thanks