Executive summary: A framework for analyzing AI power-seeking highlights how classic arguments for AI risk rely heavily on the assumption that AIs will be able to easily take over the world, but relaxing this assumption reveals more complex strategic tradeoffs for AIs considering problematic power-seeking.
Key points:
Prerequisites for rational AI takeover include agential capabilities, goal-content structure, and takeover-favoring incentives.
Classic AI risk arguments assume AIs will meet agential and goal prerequisites, be extremely capable, and have incentives favoring takeover.
If AIs cannot easily take over via many paths, the incentives for power-seeking become more complex and uncertain.
Analyzing specific AI motivational structures and tradeoffs is important, not just abstract properties like goal-directedness.
Strategic dynamics of earlier, weaker AIs matter for improving safety with later, more powerful systems.
Framework helps recast and scrutinize key assumptions in classic AI risk arguments.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, andcontact us if you have feedback.
Executive summary: A framework for analyzing AI power-seeking highlights how classic arguments for AI risk rely heavily on the assumption that AIs will be able to easily take over the world, but relaxing this assumption reveals more complex strategic tradeoffs for AIs considering problematic power-seeking.
Key points:
Prerequisites for rational AI takeover include agential capabilities, goal-content structure, and takeover-favoring incentives.
Classic AI risk arguments assume AIs will meet agential and goal prerequisites, be extremely capable, and have incentives favoring takeover.
If AIs cannot easily take over via many paths, the incentives for power-seeking become more complex and uncertain.
Analyzing specific AI motivational structures and tradeoffs is important, not just abstract properties like goal-directedness.
Strategic dynamics of earlier, weaker AIs matter for improving safety with later, more powerful systems.
Framework helps recast and scrutinize key assumptions in classic AI risk arguments.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, and contact us if you have feedback.