I believe there’s a minor error in your Guesstimate model. The “proportional x-risk reduction” should be 0.01, not 0.011, to correspond to the 1% proportional reduction mentioned in the post:
Edit: Actually, never mind. I see this is an artifact of inputting the reduction as an uncertain value from 0.005 to 0.02.
I believe there’s a minor error in your Guesstimate model. The “proportional x-risk reduction” should be 0.01, not 0.011, to correspond to the 1% proportional reduction mentioned in the post:
Edit: Actually, never mind. I see this is an artifact of inputting the reduction as an uncertain value from 0.005 to 0.02.