I like the general framing & your identification of the need for more defensibility in these definitions. As someone more inclined toward GHD, I don’t do so because I see it as a more likely way of ensuring flow-through value of future lives, but I still do place moral weight on future lives.
My take tends more toward (with the requisite uncertainty) not focusing on longtermist causes because I think they might be completely intractable, and as such we’re better off focusing on suffering reduction in the present and the near-term future (~100 years). Similar thinking around wild animal suffering (although I wholeheartedly support improvements for farmed animals and think it could be tractable).
That feels different to your framing? But perhaps all that intractability is just a factor of my lower EEV estimates and/or the confidence in them?
I like the general framing & your identification of the need for more defensibility in these definitions. As someone more inclined toward GHD, I don’t do so because I see it as a more likely way of ensuring flow-through value of future lives, but I still do place moral weight on future lives.
My take tends more toward (with the requisite uncertainty) not focusing on longtermist causes because I think they might be completely intractable, and as such we’re better off focusing on suffering reduction in the present and the near-term future (~100 years). Similar thinking around wild animal suffering (although I wholeheartedly support improvements for farmed animals and think it could be tractable).
That feels different to your framing? But perhaps all that intractability is just a factor of my lower EEV estimates and/or the confidence in them?