Yeah. If it turns out that the true effect is smaller than you observed in that post (which it may well not be—lots of heterogeneity), my guess would be that the spike was partly caused by some interaction with people promoting it at the same time. But again, it’s super hard to tell without randomization, because the effects vary so much.
Yeah. If it turns out that the true effect is smaller than you observed in that post (which it may well not be—lots of heterogeneity), my guess would be that the spike was partly caused by some interaction with people promoting it at the same time. But again, it’s super hard to tell without randomization, because the effects vary so much.