Unfortunate optics confirmed. But would still be good to get an update on:
[from the contest announcement]
Panelist credences on the probability of AGI by 2043 range from ~10% to ~45%. Conditional on AGI being developed by 2070, panelist credences on the probability of existential catastrophe range from ~5% to ~50%.
Unfortunate optics confirmed. But would still be good to get an update on:
[from the contest announcement]