Since you’re (among other things) listing reference classes that people might put claims about transformative AI into, I’ll note that millennarianism is a common one among skeptics. I.e., “lots of [mostly religious] groups throughout history have claimed that society is soon going to be swept away by an as-yet-unseen force and replaced with something new, and they were all deluded, so you are probably deluded too”.
Since you’re (among other things) listing reference classes that people might put claims about transformative AI into, I’ll note that millennarianism is a common one among skeptics. I.e., “lots of [mostly religious] groups throughout history have claimed that society is soon going to be swept away by an as-yet-unseen force and replaced with something new, and they were all deluded, so you are probably deluded too”.
Agreed. This is similar in spirit to the “My cause is most important” part.