Thanks for writing this! If you’re interested, there has been a decent amount of discussion about this on the forum, largely under the banner of whether we are living at the “hinge of history”. E.g. in Will’s post introducing the phrase he gives what he calls the “outside view” argument, which is similar to what you call the Doomsday Argument.
Thanks! I didn’t fully understand what people meant by that and how it’s related to various forms of longtermism. Skimming the linked post was helpful to get a better picture.
Thanks for writing this! If you’re interested, there has been a decent amount of discussion about this on the forum, largely under the banner of whether we are living at the “hinge of history”. E.g. in Will’s post introducing the phrase he gives what he calls the “outside view” argument, which is similar to what you call the Doomsday Argument.
Thanks! I didn’t fully understand what people meant by that and how it’s related to various forms of longtermism. Skimming the linked post was helpful to get a better picture.