I can’t speak for others on the EA Forum and I imagine many would disagree, but just speaking for myself, I don’t trust Anthropic on this and would want to see confirmation from other, independent and more reliable sources.
Mainly, my thoughts are: 1) is this even true, at all, in the first place?[1] And 2) even if it is true or partially true, to what extent is Anthropic exaggerating the significance of this?
Just one reason I don’t trust Anthropic: in mid-March 2025, Anthropic’s CEO Dario Amodei predicted that by mid-September 2025, 90% of all code would be written by AI. This didn’t end up happening, obviously. But Dario didn’t admit he was wrong. He tried to deny it. That makes Dario lose trust and credibility, in my books. If Anthropic can’t even be trusted to acknowledge clear, straightforward facts that are publicly known, how could it possibly be trusted on something like this?
Edited at 11:15 PM Eastern on 2025-11-16 to add: Just to be clear, I would be very surprised if the whole story was an outright fabrication by Anthropic. It’s more that I don’t trust their judgment and I don’t trust them not to exaggerate or distort things.
I can’t speak for others on the EA Forum and I imagine many would disagree, but just speaking for myself, I don’t trust Anthropic on this and would want to see confirmation from other, independent and more reliable sources.
Mainly, my thoughts are: 1) is this even true, at all, in the first place?[1] And 2) even if it is true or partially true, to what extent is Anthropic exaggerating the significance of this?
Just one reason I don’t trust Anthropic: in mid-March 2025, Anthropic’s CEO Dario Amodei predicted that by mid-September 2025, 90% of all code would be written by AI. This didn’t end up happening, obviously. But Dario didn’t admit he was wrong. He tried to deny it. That makes Dario lose trust and credibility, in my books. If Anthropic can’t even be trusted to acknowledge clear, straightforward facts that are publicly known, how could it possibly be trusted on something like this?
Edited at 11:15 PM Eastern on 2025-11-16 to add: Just to be clear, I would be very surprised if the whole story was an outright fabrication by Anthropic. It’s more that I don’t trust their judgment and I don’t trust them not to exaggerate or distort things.