I’m pretty confident that a majority of the population will soon have very negative attitudes towards big AI labs. I’m extremely unsure about what impact this will have on the AI Safety and EA communities (because we work with those labs in all sorts of ways). I think this could increase the likelihood of “Ethics” advocates becoming much more popular, but I don’t know if this necessarily increases catastrophic or existential risks.
Anecdotally I feel like people generally have very low opinion of and understanding of the finance sector, and the finance sector mostly doesn’t seem to mind. (There are times when there’s a noisy collision, e.g. Melvin Capital vs. GME, but they’re probably overall pretty rare.)
It’s possible / likely that AI and tech companies targeting mass audiences with their product are more dependent on positive public perception, but I suspect that the effect of being broadly hated is less strong than you’d think.
I doubt the prevalence of AI is making people more positive towards the sector given all the negative publicity over plagarism, job loss, and so on. So I would guess the public already dislikes AI companies (even if they use their products), and this will probably increase.
I’m pretty confident that a majority of the population will soon have very negative attitudes towards big AI labs.
Can you elaborate on what makes you so certain about this? Do you think that the reputation will be more like that of Facebook or that of Big Tobacco? Or will it be totally different?
I’m pretty confident that a majority of the population will soon have very negative attitudes towards big AI labs. I’m extremely unsure about what impact this will have on the AI Safety and EA communities (because we work with those labs in all sorts of ways). I think this could increase the likelihood of “Ethics” advocates becoming much more popular, but I don’t know if this necessarily increases catastrophic or existential risks.
Anecdotally I feel like people generally have very low opinion of and understanding of the finance sector, and the finance sector mostly doesn’t seem to mind. (There are times when there’s a noisy collision, e.g. Melvin Capital vs. GME, but they’re probably overall pretty rare.)
It’s possible / likely that AI and tech companies targeting mass audiences with their product are more dependent on positive public perception, but I suspect that the effect of being broadly hated is less strong than you’d think.
I think the amount of AI caused turmoil I’m expecting in 3-5 years might be much higher than you, which accounts for most of this difference.
The public already has a negative attitude towards the tech sector before the AI buzz. in 2021 45% of americans had a somewhat or very negative view of tech companies.
I doubt the prevalence of AI is making people more positive towards the sector given all the negative publicity over plagarism, job loss, and so on. So I would guess the public already dislikes AI companies (even if they use their products), and this will probably increase.
Yeah the problem with some surveys is they measure prompted attitudes rather than salient ones.
Can you elaborate on what makes you so certain about this? Do you think that the reputation will be more like that of Facebook or that of Big Tobacco? Or will it be totally different?
Basically, I think there is a good chance we have 15% unemployment rates in less than two years caused primarily by digital agents.
Totally different. I had a call with a voice actor who has colleagues hearing their voices online without remuneration. Tip of the iceberg stuff.