Some brief thoughts (just my quick takes. My guess is that others might disagree, including at GovAI):
Overall, I think the situation is quite different compared to 2018, when I think the talk was recorded. AI governance / policy issues are much more prominent in the media, in politics, etc. The EU Commission has proposed some pretty comprehensive AI legislation. As such, there’s more pressure on companies as well as governments to take action. I think there’s also better understanding of what AI policy is sensible. All these things update me against 1 (insofar as we are still in the formative stages) and 2. They also update me in favour of thinking something like: governments will want to take a bunch of actions related to AI and so we should try to steer those actions in positive directions.
I think the AI policy / governance field is mature enough at this point that it’s not that helpful to think of an AI governance regime as one unitary thing. I much prefer thinking about specific areas of AI governance. Depending on the area, I’d likely have different views on 1-3. For example, it seems likely that companies are best placed to help develop standards that may be used to inform legislation further down the line. I wouldn’t expect companies to be best placed to figure out what the US should do wrt updates to antitrust regulation.
On 3, I think it’s true that companies have incentives in favour of acting prosocially and that we can boost these incentives. I’m not sure those incentives outweigh their other incentives, though. The view is not that e.g. Facebook, Amazon, Google, are all-things-considered going to act in the public interest. I also don’t think Jade-2018 held that view.
Some brief thoughts (just my quick takes. My guess is that others might disagree, including at GovAI):
Overall, I think the situation is quite different compared to 2018, when I think the talk was recorded. AI governance / policy issues are much more prominent in the media, in politics, etc. The EU Commission has proposed some pretty comprehensive AI legislation. As such, there’s more pressure on companies as well as governments to take action. I think there’s also better understanding of what AI policy is sensible. All these things update me against 1 (insofar as we are still in the formative stages) and 2. They also update me in favour of thinking something like: governments will want to take a bunch of actions related to AI and so we should try to steer those actions in positive directions.
I think the AI policy / governance field is mature enough at this point that it’s not that helpful to think of an AI governance regime as one unitary thing. I much prefer thinking about specific areas of AI governance. Depending on the area, I’d likely have different views on 1-3. For example, it seems likely that companies are best placed to help develop standards that may be used to inform legislation further down the line. I wouldn’t expect companies to be best placed to figure out what the US should do wrt updates to antitrust regulation.
On 3, I think it’s true that companies have incentives in favour of acting prosocially and that we can boost these incentives. I’m not sure those incentives outweigh their other incentives, though. The view is not that e.g. Facebook, Amazon, Google, are all-things-considered going to act in the public interest. I also don’t think Jade-2018 held that view.