Some quick takes on this from me: I agree with 2 and 3, but it’s worth noting that “post-AGI” might be “2 years after AGI while there is a crazy singularity on going and vast amounts of digital minds”.
I think as stated, (1) seems about 75% likely to me, which is not hugely reassuring. Further, I think there is a critical time you’re not highlighting: a time when AGI exists but humans are still (potentially) in control and society looks similar to now.
Some quick takes on this from me: I agree with 2 and 3, but it’s worth noting that “post-AGI” might be “2 years after AGI while there is a crazy singularity on going and vast amounts of digital minds”.
I think as stated, (1) seems about 75% likely to me, which is not hugely reassuring. Further, I think there is a critical time you’re not highlighting: a time when AGI exists but humans are still (potentially) in control and society looks similar to now.