I updated the description for “developing world human” to be less ambiguous.
I agree that the survey respondents are too optimistic. I thought I had changed the numbers to be more pessimistic but apparently I didn’t.
Considering how quickly the AI safety field is growing, I would be surprised if there were fewer than 200 AI safety researchers within 20 years (and it’s pretty unlikely that AGI is developed before then). I use “How Big Is AI” here.
Thanks for the feedback, Buck.
I updated the description for “developing world human” to be less ambiguous.
I agree that the survey respondents are too optimistic. I thought I had changed the numbers to be more pessimistic but apparently I didn’t.
Considering how quickly the AI safety field is growing, I would be surprised if there were fewer than 200 AI safety researchers within 20 years (and it’s pretty unlikely that AGI is developed before then). I use “How Big Is AI” here.