Perfect, thanks! I agree with most of your points (and just writing them here for my own understanding/others):
Uncertainty hard (long time scale, humans adaptable, risks systemically interdependent so we get zero or double counting)
Probabilities have incentives (e.g. Stern’s discounting incentive)
Probabilities get simplified (0-10% can turn into 5% or 0% or 10%)
I’ll ping you as I get closer to a editable draft of my book, so we can ensure I’m painting an appropriate picture. Thanks again!
Perfect, thanks! I agree with most of your points (and just writing them here for my own understanding/others):
Uncertainty hard (long time scale, humans adaptable, risks systemically interdependent so we get zero or double counting)
Probabilities have incentives (e.g. Stern’s discounting incentive)
Probabilities get simplified (0-10% can turn into 5% or 0% or 10%)
I’ll ping you as I get closer to a editable draft of my book, so we can ensure I’m painting an appropriate picture. Thanks again!