There’s a few papers on using prediction markets to determine which experiments are likely not to replicate. The prediction markets worked quite well. https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1516179112 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8046229/
https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.200566
Someone should also talk to this guy: https://fantasticanachronism.com/2021/11/18/how-i-made-10k-predicting-which-papers-will-replicate/
The second/third link are dead. Would you mind re-posting it please?
Weird, somehow the links got merged together.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8046229/https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.200566
There’s a few papers on using prediction markets to determine which experiments are likely not to replicate. The prediction markets worked quite well. https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1516179112 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8046229/
https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.200566
Someone should also talk to this guy: https://fantasticanachronism.com/2021/11/18/how-i-made-10k-predicting-which-papers-will-replicate/
The second/third link are dead. Would you mind re-posting it please?
Weird, somehow the links got merged together.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8046229/
https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.200566