Though it’s interesting to note Justin’s fermi is not far off how one of Johns Hopkins’ CHS scenarios played out (coronavirus, animal origin, 65m deaths worldwide).
Note: this was NOT a prediction (and had some key differences including higher mortality associated with their hypothetical virus, and significant international containment failure beyond that seen to date with nCov)
Though it’s interesting to note Justin’s fermi is not far off how one of Johns Hopkins’ CHS scenarios played out (coronavirus, animal origin, 65m deaths worldwide).
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/scenario.html
Note: this was NOT a prediction (and had some key differences including higher mortality associated with their hypothetical virus, and significant international containment failure beyond that seen to date with nCov)
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/newsroom/center-news/2020-01-24-Statement-of-Clarification-Event201.html