Metaculus currently gives a 16% chance to the claim that total deaths before 2021 will be greater than 11.6 M.
I must admit, I would not make the same bet at the same odds on the 27th of February 2020.
Metaculus currently gives a 16% chance to the claim that total deaths before 2021 will be greater than 11.6 M.
I must admit, I would not make the same bet at the same odds on the 27th of February 2020.