A couple of comments on the new intro to EA article:
The graph in the “Helping create the field of AI alignment research” is an interesting one, but it takes up a lot of space given that it isn’t about the main point of the section. It seems like the section is about “AI will probably be a big deal and the EA community has helped create and populate the AI alignment field, which is trying to increase the likelihood that AI is beneficial” whereas the graph says “the Industrial Revolution was a big deal” which is somewhat relevant but doesn’t seem to warrant a giant graph in my opinion. Also, some readers might wonder if the graph merely reflects constant exponential growth (my understanding is that it doesn’t, but it’s not obvious to me by looking at it).
Under “Improving decision-making,” I don’t find the Metaculus example very compelling. The text suggests but does not establish that the forecasting community was ahead of consensus public or expert opinions. And it’s not clear to me what people/entities changed, or could have changed, their decisions in a way that would have been beneficial to humanity by using the Metaculus forecast. Maybe that’s obvious to other people though!
This is wonderful news!
A couple of comments on the new intro to EA article:
The graph in the “Helping create the field of AI alignment research” is an interesting one, but it takes up a lot of space given that it isn’t about the main point of the section. It seems like the section is about “AI will probably be a big deal and the EA community has helped create and populate the AI alignment field, which is trying to increase the likelihood that AI is beneficial” whereas the graph says “the Industrial Revolution was a big deal” which is somewhat relevant but doesn’t seem to warrant a giant graph in my opinion. Also, some readers might wonder if the graph merely reflects constant exponential growth (my understanding is that it doesn’t, but it’s not obvious to me by looking at it).
Under “Improving decision-making,” I don’t find the Metaculus example very compelling. The text suggests but does not establish that the forecasting community was ahead of consensus public or expert opinions. And it’s not clear to me what people/entities changed, or could have changed, their decisions in a way that would have been beneficial to humanity by using the Metaculus forecast. Maybe that’s obvious to other people though!