Yes, how does the posterior mode differ from GiveWell’s point estimates, and how does this vary as a function of the input uncertainty (confidence interval length)?
(I think my other two recent comments sort of answer each of your questions.)
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Yes, how does the posterior mode differ from GiveWell’s point estimates, and how does this vary as a function of the input uncertainty (confidence interval length)?
(I think my other two recent comments sort of answer each of your questions.)