Yes, how does the posterior mode differ from GiveWell’s point estimates, and how does this vary as a function of the input uncertainty (confidence interval length)?
(I think my other two recent comments sort of answer each of your questions.)
Yes, how does the posterior mode differ from GiveWell’s point estimates, and how does this vary as a function of the input uncertainty (confidence interval length)?
(I think my other two recent comments sort of answer each of your questions.)