Reminds me of this:
I think it’s also just very difficult for experts to adopt a new paradigm. In transportation the experts consistently overestimate.
Can you share a link to the source of this chart? The current link shows me a jpg and nothing else.
Source is here. (I’ve not read the article—I’ve seen the chart (or variations of it) a bunch of times before and just googled for the image.)
Reminds me of this:
A kind of conservativeness of “expert” opinion that doesn’t correctly appreciate (rapid) exponential growth.
I think it’s also just very difficult for experts to adopt a new paradigm. In transportation the experts consistently overestimate.
Can you share a link to the source of this chart? The current link shows me a jpg and nothing else.
Source is here. (I’ve not read the article—I’ve seen the chart (or variations of it) a bunch of times before and just googled for the image.)