Point taken, but look at OP’s title—it is a definitive claim, one which is not supported at all by the accompanying text. Describing the uncertainty in fact does get us somewhere, it allows one to throw out the claim. “Animal charities could easily be better than the OP suggests” indeed, but they could also be far worse.
Unless someone submits new data one way or the other though, the point is moot; which is to say, “back to the drawing board,” which is better than being led down a false path, i.e. is, again, an improvement over what was originally presented.
You can interpret “much more effective” as a claim about the expected value of a charity given current information. Personally, that’s what I think when I see such statements.
Point taken, but look at OP’s title—it is a definitive claim, one which is not supported at all by the accompanying text. Describing the uncertainty in fact does get us somewhere, it allows one to throw out the claim. “Animal charities could easily be better than the OP suggests” indeed, but they could also be far worse.
Unless someone submits new data one way or the other though, the point is moot; which is to say, “back to the drawing board,” which is better than being led down a false path, i.e. is, again, an improvement over what was originally presented.
You can interpret “much more effective” as a claim about the expected value of a charity given current information. Personally, that’s what I think when I see such statements.