Notable responses included the comment from Howie Lempel which reiterated the points in the Open Phil article about how it seemed unlikely that someone watching the field would fail to notice if there was a sudden increase in capabilities.
Also Rob Wiblin commented to ask to make it clear that 80,000 hours doesn’t necessarily endorse the view that nanotech/APM is as high a risk as that survey suggests.
I raised a similar question on the Effective Altruism fb group last year.
Notable responses included the comment from Howie Lempel which reiterated the points in the Open Phil article about how it seemed unlikely that someone watching the field would fail to notice if there was a sudden increase in capabilities.
Also Rob Wiblin commented to ask to make it clear that 80,000 hours doesn’t necessarily endorse the view that nanotech/APM is as high a risk as that survey suggests.