they have no track record, no precedent, no broad expert/academic endorsement.
One problem is that interventions which do have these things are usually not neglected.
i.e. you get higher tractability but lower neglectedness.
Since both matter, it becomes unclear where on the spectrum to focus.
It seems unlikely you either want 100% neglectedness or 100% tractability (because then you’ll be ignoring the opposite factor), so my guess is somewhere in the middle.
I think this speaks in favor of looking at areas on the edge of consensus, where there’s emerging but not fully decisive evidence.
One problem is that interventions which do have these things are usually not neglected. i.e. you get higher tractability but lower neglectedness.
Since both matter, it becomes unclear where on the spectrum to focus.
It seems unlikely you either want 100% neglectedness or 100% tractability (because then you’ll be ignoring the opposite factor), so my guess is somewhere in the middle.
I think this speaks in favor of looking at areas on the edge of consensus, where there’s emerging but not fully decisive evidence.