Note: the probabilities in the above quotes and in the podcast are the result of armchair forecasting. Please do not quote Peter on this. (I want to give some space for my guests to give intuitions about their estimates without having to worry about being extra careful.)
Note: the probabilities in the above quotes and in the podcast are the result of armchair forecasting. Please do not quote Peter on this. (I want to give some space for my guests to give intuitions about their estimates without having to worry about being extra careful.)