Did you know that you’re more likely to die from a catastrophe than in a car crash? The odds that a typical US resident will die from a catastrophic event—for example, nuclear war, bioterrorism, or out-of-control artificial intelligence—have been estimated at 1 in 6. That’s fifteen times more likely than a fatal car crash and thirty-one times more likely than being murdered. In What’s the Worst That Could Happen?, Andrew Leigh looks at catastrophic risks and how to mitigate them, arguing provocatively that the rise of populist politics makes catastrophe more likely.
Andrew Leigh (Australian MP) has a 2021 book called What’s the Worst That Could Happen?.
The book blurb starts as follows:
Book review EA Forum post here
This estimate is taken from Toby Ord’s The Precipice, right? I remember 1⁄6 from there.
Yes