I’ll definitely take a look at the cost effectiveness calculations and see if I can work references to these into my draft. In particular, I’m interested to find out what assumptions they are based on.
The other blog post you shared looks to me to have a key flaw—it models emissions as having a sharp spike where they go from growing quickly to declining quickly. This seems very unlikely to me—and the smoother curve as growth slows and turns into decline implies a greater area under the curve and hence a much greater final impact of delay.
I’ll definitely take a look at the cost effectiveness calculations and see if I can work references to these into my draft. In particular, I’m interested to find out what assumptions they are based on.
The other blog post you shared looks to me to have a key flaw—it models emissions as having a sharp spike where they go from growing quickly to declining quickly. This seems very unlikely to me—and the smoother curve as growth slows and turns into decline implies a greater area under the curve and hence a much greater final impact of delay.