A small probability of a big future win. The world today has lots of governments, but they seem to mostly follow a very small number of basic governance templates. At some point, there will be new states with new Constitutions—maybe via space settlements, maybe via collapse of existing states, etc. - but I expect these moments to be few and far between. A significant literature and set of experts on “ideal governance” could lead to a radically different kind of state government, potentially with radically different policies that the rest of the world could learn from.
I think you could rework this paragraph a bit and make it work for big online communities too. Mostly fairly static and undifferentiated, with occasional tectonic shifts representing opportunities for change, and important due to being upstream of lots of stuff. The nature of the governance problem is different, but I think there are many hypothetical approaches on a continuum between social media & states as they’re governed now, and many ideas which are applicable to both (e.g. quadratic voting, prediction markets).
I think you could rework this paragraph a bit and make it work for big online communities too. Mostly fairly static and undifferentiated, with occasional tectonic shifts representing opportunities for change, and important due to being upstream of lots of stuff. The nature of the governance problem is different, but I think there are many hypothetical approaches on a continuum between social media & states as they’re governed now, and many ideas which are applicable to both (e.g. quadratic voting, prediction markets).