I didn’t mean to imply that the protests would fix the whole problem, obviously they won’t.
As you say you’d need to multiply through by a distribution for ‘likelihood of success’ and ‘how much of the problems solved’.
Sure, I didn’t think you were saying that the protests would be a panacea. My main point was less about probability/degree of success and more about counterfactual impact.
I didn’t mean to imply that the protests would fix the whole problem, obviously they won’t.
As you say you’d need to multiply through by a distribution for ‘likelihood of success’ and ‘how much of the problems solved’.
Sure, I didn’t think you were saying that the protests would be a panacea. My main point was less about probability/degree of success and more about counterfactual impact.