Language models have been growing more capable even faster.But with them there is something very special about the human range of abilities, because that is the level of all the text they are trained on.
This sounds like a hypothesis that makes predictions we can go check. Did you have any particular evidence in mind? This and this come to mind, but there is plenty of other relevant stuff, and many experiments that could be quickly done for specific domains/settings.
Note that you say “something very special” whereas my comment is actually about a stronger claim like “AI performance is likely to plateau around human level because that’s where the data is”. I don’t dispute that there’s something special here, but I think the empirical evidence about plateauing — that I’m aware of — does not strongly support that hypothesis.
This sounds like a hypothesis that makes predictions we can go check. Did you have any particular evidence in mind? This and this come to mind, but there is plenty of other relevant stuff, and many experiments that could be quickly done for specific domains/settings.
Note that you say “something very special” whereas my comment is actually about a stronger claim like “AI performance is likely to plateau around human level because that’s where the data is”. I don’t dispute that there’s something special here, but I think the empirical evidence about plateauing — that I’m aware of — does not strongly support that hypothesis.