Toby—I appreciated reading your updates based on the events of the last 5ish years.
I’m am wondering if you have also reconsidered the underlying analyses and assumptions that went into your initially published models? There’s been a fair amount written about this; to me the best is from David Thorstad here:
Toby—I appreciated reading your updates based on the events of the last 5ish years.
I’m am wondering if you have also reconsidered the underlying analyses and assumptions that went into your initially published models? There’s been a fair amount written about this; to me the best is from David Thorstad here:
https://​​reflectivealtruism.com/​​category/​​exaggerating-the-risks/​​
I would really value you engaging with the arguments he or others present, as a second kind of update.
Cheers