Executive summary: The landscape of existential risks has evolved since The Precipice was written, with climate change risk decreasing, nuclear risk increasing, and mixed changes for pandemic and AI risks, while global awareness and governance of existential risks have improved significantly.
Key points:
Climate change risk has decreased due to lower projected emissions and narrowed climate sensitivity estimates.
Nuclear risk has increased due to heightened tensions, potential new arms race, and funding collapse for nuclear risk reduction work.
Pandemic risk has seen mixed changes, with COVID-19 exposing weaknesses but also spurring advances in vaccine development and protective technologies.
AI risk landscape has shifted from reinforcement learning agents to language models, with increased racing between tech giants and improved governance efforts.
Global awareness and governance of existential risks have improved dramatically, with major policy initiatives and international declarations.
Progress towards “existential security” is occurring, but remains in early stages of addressing current threats and establishing long-term safeguards.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, andcontact us if you have feedback.
Executive summary: The landscape of existential risks has evolved since The Precipice was written, with climate change risk decreasing, nuclear risk increasing, and mixed changes for pandemic and AI risks, while global awareness and governance of existential risks have improved significantly.
Key points:
Climate change risk has decreased due to lower projected emissions and narrowed climate sensitivity estimates.
Nuclear risk has increased due to heightened tensions, potential new arms race, and funding collapse for nuclear risk reduction work.
Pandemic risk has seen mixed changes, with COVID-19 exposing weaknesses but also spurring advances in vaccine development and protective technologies.
AI risk landscape has shifted from reinforcement learning agents to language models, with increased racing between tech giants and improved governance efforts.
Global awareness and governance of existential risks have improved dramatically, with major policy initiatives and international declarations.
Progress towards “existential security” is occurring, but remains in early stages of addressing current threats and establishing long-term safeguards.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, and contact us if you have feedback.