It seems a bit redundant to make a bet on the stock market, no? But, for the heck of it:
I’ll bet you a $10 donation to the charity of your/​my choice that by January 1, 2031, at least four of the five following reputable news outlets declares the AI bubble has popped (or equivalent language that means the same thing):
The Wall Street Journal
The Financial Times
The Economist
Bloomberg
The New York Times
If there’s any doubt or disagreement about whether the resolution criteria have been met when the time comes, I’d be willing to put it to an EA Forum poll or appoint a judge.
If you want to counter-offer with a bet of your own devising, I’m all ears.
It seems a bit redundant to make a bet on the stock market, no? But, for the heck of it:
I’ll bet you a $10 donation to the charity of your/​my choice that by January 1, 2031, at least four of the five following reputable news outlets declares the AI bubble has popped (or equivalent language that means the same thing):
The Wall Street Journal
The Financial Times
The Economist
Bloomberg
The New York Times
If there’s any doubt or disagreement about whether the resolution criteria have been met when the time comes, I’d be willing to put it to an EA Forum poll or appoint a judge.
If you want to counter-offer with a bet of your own devising, I’m all ears.