That said, it still seems to be a low risk, considering that a significant number of people are actively working on it and they are being taken seriously.
Have they solved the problem yet? How likely are they to solve the problem? How confident are you about that? I don’t think you can answer those questions in a way that justifies a 0.01% probability of extinction.
Have they solved the problem yet? How likely are they to solve the problem? How confident are you about that? I don’t think you can answer those questions in a way that justifies a 0.01% probability of extinction.