I don’t think that’s fair; experts in all sorts of domains refrain from making probabilistic predictions despite having strong and legitimate opinions. The idea of using subjective credences to measure beliefs is a unique practice which is uncommon in circles outside EA.
I don’t think that’s fair; experts in all sorts of domains refrain from making probabilistic predictions despite having strong and legitimate opinions. The idea of using subjective credences to measure beliefs is a unique practice which is uncommon in circles outside EA.