TL;DR: Even though Facebook has only provided $7 million USD in matching funds, EAs have been able to get more than half their donations matched in the last two years and I don’t expect the opportunity to become saturated (by EAs or the general public) this year either. That is, I expect EA donors who take an hour or two to prepare (by reading the EA Giving Tuesday team’s instructions and making a few small practice donations) will still have a 30-70% probability of getting matched (up to $20,000 per donor) this Giving Tuesday, December 3, 2020. (E.g. I’m currently willing to make an unconditional bet at even odds that I will make a donation that is matched by Facebook for Giving Tuesday this year.)
Also worth mentioning: Whether you have employer matching or not, all US donors can take advantage of Facebook’s Giving Tuesday donation match (see EAs Should Invest All Year, then Give only on Giving Tuesday and the EA Giving Tuesday website).
TL;DR: Even though Facebook has only provided $7 million USD in matching funds, EAs have been able to get more than half their donations matched in the last two years and I don’t expect the opportunity to become saturated (by EAs or the general public) this year either. That is, I expect EA donors who take an hour or two to prepare (by reading the EA Giving Tuesday team’s instructions and making a few small practice donations) will still have a 30-70% probability of getting matched (up to $20,000 per donor) this Giving Tuesday, December 3, 2020. (E.g. I’m currently willing to make an unconditional bet at even odds that I will make a donation that is matched by Facebook for Giving Tuesday this year.)