The best chapter in Super forecasting was Chapter 10: the Leaders Dilemma (although I’m biased as a former military officer in that it confirmed many of my priors). I feel like its concepts are the most relevant to the practical implementation of effective forecasting, yet I don’t see a lot of talk about it in the EA community.
The best chapter in Super forecasting was Chapter 10: the Leaders Dilemma (although I’m biased as a former military officer in that it confirmed many of my priors). I feel like its concepts are the most relevant to the practical implementation of effective forecasting, yet I don’t see a lot of talk about it in the EA community.