I’m not saying that we shouldn’t think about ending factory farming at all. I was just arguing against favouring interventions just because it’s easier to imagine how they would completely eliminate factory farming because it’s so far away. Also, I wouldn’t think about the endgame a lot at this stage when we are so far away from it.
Apart from reasons I discussed in the original comment, I’d like to mention one more reason why I think that. It’s very likely that due emerging technologies (AI, cultured meat, large-scale insect farming, etc.), environmental problems, political changes, possible global catastrophises, etc., the World might look very different by the time we are in the endgame (which I imagine in at least 50 years). And it’s difficult to predict how it will look. Hence it’s also very difficult to plan for it. Furthermore, interventions that are tractable now may not stay tractable forever (e.g. people may grow numb to corporate campaigns). Hence, any plan we come up with now will likely need to be changed anyway. It still makes sense to think a bit whether our current actions will be valuable in various plausible future scenarios though.
I’m not saying that we shouldn’t think about ending factory farming at all. I was just arguing against favouring interventions just because it’s easier to imagine how they would completely eliminate factory farming because it’s so far away. Also, I wouldn’t think about the endgame a lot at this stage when we are so far away from it.
Apart from reasons I discussed in the original comment, I’d like to mention one more reason why I think that. It’s very likely that due emerging technologies (AI, cultured meat, large-scale insect farming, etc.), environmental problems, political changes, possible global catastrophises, etc., the World might look very different by the time we are in the endgame (which I imagine in at least 50 years). And it’s difficult to predict how it will look. Hence it’s also very difficult to plan for it. Furthermore, interventions that are tractable now may not stay tractable forever (e.g. people may grow numb to corporate campaigns). Hence, any plan we come up with now will likely need to be changed anyway. It still makes sense to think a bit whether our current actions will be valuable in various plausible future scenarios though.