So I skimmed this and it looks like you are basically just applying MacAskill’s method. Did I miss something?
Btw, whether to assign ordinal or cardinal scores to things isn’t really something that you should do in the context of normative uncertainty. It should come from the moral theory itself, and not be altered by considerations of uncertainty. If the moral theory has properties that allow us to model it with a cardinal ranking, then we do that, and if it doesn’t then we use an ordinal ranking. One moral theory may have ordinal rankings and another may have cardinal ones. By the way, as far as MEC is concerned, an ordinal moral ranking is just a special case of cardinal moral rankings where the differences between consecutively ranked options are uniform.
So I skimmed this and it looks like you are basically just applying MacAskill’s method. Did I miss something?
Btw, whether to assign ordinal or cardinal scores to things isn’t really something that you should do in the context of normative uncertainty. It should come from the moral theory itself, and not be altered by considerations of uncertainty. If the moral theory has properties that allow us to model it with a cardinal ranking, then we do that, and if it doesn’t then we use an ordinal ranking. One moral theory may have ordinal rankings and another may have cardinal ones. By the way, as far as MEC is concerned, an ordinal moral ranking is just a special case of cardinal moral rankings where the differences between consecutively ranked options are uniform.