I think the value of work on climate change isn’t very impacted by this analysis, since it seems almost certianly solved post-ASI, so climate-driven catastrophic setbacks will generally occur pre-ASI and so not increase the total number of times we need to try to align ASI. Whereas nukes are less certainly solved post-ASI, given we may still be in a multipolar war-like world.
I think the value of work on climate change isn’t very impacted by this analysis, since it seems almost certianly solved post-ASI, so climate-driven catastrophic setbacks will generally occur pre-ASI and so not increase the total number of times we need to try to align ASI. Whereas nukes are less certainly solved post-ASI, given we may still be in a multipolar war-like world.