...we need to get more clarity on some crucial questions such as “How serious is the threat of a world run by misaligned AI?” But it’s hard to answer questions like this, when we’re talking about a development (transformative AI) that may take place some indeterminate number of decades from now.
Some additional clarity may come from shifting focus from the emerging technology (largely unpredictable) to the human beings (largely predictable) who will be using the technology.
Technology races ahead in an often unpredictable manner, but human beings have not substantially changed in 10,000 years or more. At the least, human behavior seems far more predictable than the details of technological development.
Is AI a threat? Long standing patterns of human behavior suggest that if AI can be made in to a threat, some one will do so.
How serious is the threat? Harder to answer. But we can predict that whatever the threat level, our response to it will probably be largely ineffective. As example, the threat from nuclear weapons has not lessened since the day I was born in 1952, and is arguably worse today. More to the point, we seem to have almost given up on even trying to remove the threat.
I’m hoping to find members who like to think holistically, and are interested in seeing emerging technology and the human condition as a single unified system, with the system as a whole being limited by it’s weakest link, which is us.
On the technology side we might be looking for younger people who are highly educated on the details of currently emerging technologies. Generally speaking, older people’s understanding of technical details will often be less current.
On the human side we might be looking for older people who have accumulated many years of real world experience data, and thus may be best positioned to see patterns of human behavior which can help us predict how we will respond to the as yet unknown evolving technical/social environment.
Some additional clarity may come from shifting focus from the emerging technology (largely unpredictable) to the human beings (largely predictable) who will be using the technology.
Technology races ahead in an often unpredictable manner, but human beings have not substantially changed in 10,000 years or more. At the least, human behavior seems far more predictable than the details of technological development.
Is AI a threat? Long standing patterns of human behavior suggest that if AI can be made in to a threat, some one will do so.
How serious is the threat? Harder to answer. But we can predict that whatever the threat level, our response to it will probably be largely ineffective. As example, the threat from nuclear weapons has not lessened since the day I was born in 1952, and is arguably worse today. More to the point, we seem to have almost given up on even trying to remove the threat.
I’m hoping to find members who like to think holistically, and are interested in seeing emerging technology and the human condition as a single unified system, with the system as a whole being limited by it’s weakest link, which is us.
On the technology side we might be looking for younger people who are highly educated on the details of currently emerging technologies. Generally speaking, older people’s understanding of technical details will often be less current.
On the human side we might be looking for older people who have accumulated many years of real world experience data, and thus may be best positioned to see patterns of human behavior which can help us predict how we will respond to the as yet unknown evolving technical/social environment.