Yep, it’s currently tracking how much money was raised. I think this isn’t a useless signal, because big funders are evaluating projects’ impact when deciding how much to fund them, but it’s definitely not the only signal we want. I think a cool next step (for Manifund or for anyone else, and hopefully in the long term to be done by many people) would be to do some rough cost-effectiveness analyses of these orgs and then make markets around those estimates.
Yep, it’s currently tracking how much money was raised. I think this isn’t a useless signal, because big funders are evaluating projects’ impact when deciding how much to fund them, but it’s definitely not the only signal we want. I think a cool next step (for Manifund or for anyone else, and hopefully in the long term to be done by many people) would be to do some rough cost-effectiveness analyses of these orgs and then make markets around those estimates.