I don’t tend to express things like that, but when I see it I tend to interpret it as “if I thought about this for a while, I expect the probability I’d end up with would be in this range, with moderate confidence”.
I don’t actually know how often this is a correct interpretation.
I don’t tend to express things like that, but when I see it I tend to interpret it as “if I thought about this for a while, I expect the probability I’d end up with would be in this range, with moderate confidence”.
I don’t actually know how often this is a correct interpretation.