Why is it inadequate to use language associated with Bayes in an informal analysis? Are you suggesting that when people communicate about their beliefs in day-to-day conversation, they should only do so after using Dirichlet or another related process? Can you see how that is, in fact, extremely impractical? Can you see how it is rational to take into account the costs and benefits of using a particular technique, and while empirical robustness may sometimes be overwhelmingly important in some contexts, it is not always rational to use a method in some contexts such as if there are too high costs associated with using it?
Please keep taking screenshots! I’m sure you wouldn’t want to mislead your audience by only showing part of the discussion out of context :)
You’re welcome to side with convenience; I am not commanding you to perform Dirichlet. Yet! If you take that informality, you give-up accuracy. You become MoreWrong, and should not be believed as readily as you would like.
Why is it inadequate to use language associated with Bayes in an informal analysis? Are you suggesting that when people communicate about their beliefs in day-to-day conversation, they should only do so after using Dirichlet or another related process? Can you see how that is, in fact, extremely impractical? Can you see how it is rational to take into account the costs and benefits of using a particular technique, and while empirical robustness may sometimes be overwhelmingly important in some contexts, it is not always rational to use a method in some contexts such as if there are too high costs associated with using it?
Please keep taking screenshots! I’m sure you wouldn’t want to mislead your audience by only showing part of the discussion out of context :)
You’re welcome to side with convenience; I am not commanding you to perform Dirichlet. Yet! If you take that informality, you give-up accuracy. You become MoreWrong, and should not be believed as readily as you would like.