Excellent post! I think value drift is one of the largest challenges of local groups: many people who seemed enthusiastic don’t show up after a couple of times and it’s hard to keep them motivated to keep going for the highest expected value in the long-term option.
The thing is, how do you communicate about the risk of value drift to others who are at risk? There is the problem of base rate neglect/bias blind spot: that people think the risk does not apply to them. For example, multiple people have expressed they don’t understand that I took the giving pledge to commit my future self to this, while I believe I might otherwise not act on my (current) values.
Excellent post! I think value drift is one of the largest challenges of local groups: many people who seemed enthusiastic don’t show up after a couple of times and it’s hard to keep them motivated to keep going for the highest expected value in the long-term option.
The thing is, how do you communicate about the risk of value drift to others who are at risk? There is the problem of base rate neglect/bias blind spot: that people think the risk does not apply to them. For example, multiple people have expressed they don’t understand that I took the giving pledge to commit my future self to this, while I believe I might otherwise not act on my (current) values.